Zero-one augmented beta and zero-inflated discrete models with heterogeneous dispersion for the analysis of student academic performance

Rafael Pimentel Maia
12/04/2019 - 14:00
Sala 311 - 3º piso do LCE - Pavilhão de Engenharia

The purpose of this work is to present suitable statistical methods to study the performance of undergraduate students based on the incidence/proportion of failed courses/subjects. Three approaches are considered: first, the proportion of failed subjects is modeled considering a zero-one augmented beta distribution; second, discrete models are used to model the probability of failing subjects with logit link; third, incidence is modeled using regression for count data with log link and the logarithm of the total number of subjects as an offset. The database consists of records of Engineering major students who entered the State University of Campinas, Brazil, from 2000 to 2005. Entrance exam scores and demographic variables as well as socio-economic status are considered as covariates in the models.